Syria Increasingly Relies on Russian Oil Supplies

Syria is becoming more dependent on oil shipments from Russia, even as its new government seeks closer ties with the West and public distrust of Moscow persists due to its support for former President Bashar Assad. According to Reuters calculations, Russian supplies have risen by 75% to about 60,000 barrels a day.

While this represents only a small share of Russia’s global exports, it is a crucial source of crude for Syria. After Assad’s fall in December 2024, Russia became the country’s main supplier, replacing Iran, which had been the regime’s key ally during the civil war.

Analysts and Syrian officials say the reliance reflects economic necessity but also gives Moscow leverage in a country where it retains military bases. The dependence could complicate relations with the West and expose Syria’s energy sector to sanctions.

Syrian economist Karam Shaar said it would not be surprising if the United States were to tell Syria to halt purchases, particularly if tensions with Russia escalate over other conflicts.

Domestic production covers only a fraction of demand. Syria requires between 120,000 and 150,000 barrels a day, while output stands at about 35,000.

The shortfall is largely met by Russian shipments, often transported via sanctioned tankers and ship-to-ship transfers at sea.

The authorities do not disclose the origin of supplies, reflecting the sensitivity of ties with Moscow.

(reuters, bak)