Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney is becoming Europe’s new best friend, despite enacting policies on immigration and the economy that are more at home on the right than among Brussels’ elite.
Europe may be warming to Mark Carney, but some of his policies at home would scandalize the Brussels elite. Photo: Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto/Getty Images
An Irish museum has just published a genealogy of Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Irish roots, while French President Emmanuel Macron has been playing up the Francophone elements of Canadian national life.
It is all part of Europe’s courtship of a country pushing for much deeper ties with the continent, potentially even some form of associate membership of the EU.
At a time when the US has become a more volatile ally for both Europe and Canada, a new transatlantic partnership offers both sides a measure of security. That Carney has been willing to stand up to Donald Trump no doubt adds to his appeal in Brussels.
But look more closely at the former central banker’s domestic policies, particularly on immigration and the economy, and he is not quite the conventional liberal technocrat his international image might suggest.
On some issues, his government has adopted policies more commonly associated with parties on the European right: sharply reducing migration, cutting taxes, encouraging resource extraction and offering generous incentives for private investment.
Carney’s background is not in electoral politics. Harvard-educated, with a doctorate from Oxford, the 61-year-old made his name as governor of the Bank of Canada during the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis before taking the same job at the Bank of England from 2013 to 2020.
Carney projected calm in both roles, which coincided with periods of economic and political upheaval, first the global financial crisis and later Brexit following the 2016 referendum. He entered politics with an unusual international pedigree and an intimate knowledge of modern financial markets.
But Carney did not enter electoral politics until 2025, when he was elected leader of the Liberal Party to replace Justin Trudeau. He followed that with an improbable federal election victory, securing a fourth successive term for the Liberals, albeit as a minority government.
With Canada’s economy struggling and Trump repeatedly talking about making the country America’s 51st state while escalating a tariff dispute, Carney reversed the Liberals’ fortunes by combining a tough line on Trump with the economic credentials of a former central banker.
Since then, his confrontation with Washington has helped define his premiership.
Defending Multilateralism
Carney has impressed world leaders with his approach to Trump and with a speech delivered at the prestigious Davos gathering in January. In it, Carney defended the cause of multilateralism, arguing that “the power of legitimacy, integrity and rules will remain strong if we choose to wield them together”.
It left some pundits reflecting that he is proving to be the kind of leader Macron and former British Prime Minister Keir Starmer wished they could be: decisive and unafraid.
Closer ties with Europe form part of Carney’s broader vision of strengthening the world’s “middle powers” amid what he calls a “rupture” in the global order, as superpowers such as the US become increasingly unreliable.
There is an economic imperative too. Carney needs to diversify Canada’s export markets as the tariff war with its neighbor and longtime trading partner threatens the country’s economy.
France and Canada are seeking to deepen ties, building on historic links between the two nations.
Canada is well placed to capitalize on this shift, with vast mineral reserves and growing LNG exports to Asia, while also seeking to expand into the European market. But with countries such as India and Brazil also pursuing deeper trade ties with the EU, competition is intense.
Carney’s longstanding ties to Europe through his years at the Bank of England, combined with his image as a like-minded liberal technocrat, could therefore prove valuable as Canada seeks a closer relationship with the continent.
A Right-Wing Leader?
At home, however, Carney’s agenda is harder to categorize and does not always resemble the centrist European politics with which he is often associated.
Immigration is the clearest example.
Last month, Carney declared that his government had “taken back control” of the immigration system.
The shift itself began before he became prime minister. Trudeau’s government announced restrictions on temporary immigration in 2024 after Canada experienced extraordinary population growth, much of it driven by a rapid increase in non-permanent residents. Canada’s population grew by 3% between July 2023 and July 2024, while the number of non-permanent residents rose by more than 775,000.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnmjIEUiuy8
Carney has continued that reversal. Canada’s population fell by 0.2% in the final quarter of 2025 and another 0.1% in the first quarter of 2026, with the declining number of non-permanent residents playing a major role.
The result is remarkable. A country that only recently experienced one of the fastest rates of population growth in the developed world is now deliberately reducing the number of temporary residents.
Carney has done so without adopting much of the rhetoric associated with Trump or Europe’s populist right. Yet the underlying policy, using tighter migration rules to reduce population pressures, addresses an issue that right-wing parties across Europe have made central to their platforms.
His economic program contains similarly unexpected elements.
Carney’s government has cut the lowest federal income-tax rate from 15% to 14%, a measure it describes as a middle-class tax cut. Earlier this month, he went considerably further, announcing a “Productivity Mega Deduction” allowing businesses immediately to write off a much broader range of investments.
The government says the measure will reduce Canada’s marginal effective tax rate on new business investment from about 13% to 6.4%, less than half the US rate.
Carney has also made natural-resource development central to his growth strategy. His government talks openly about pipelines, mining, critical minerals and conventional energy alongside its investments in clean energy.
That is hardly a wholesale conversion to conservatism. But it is a noticeably different emphasis from the progressive politics associated with Trudeau’s later years.
In other areas, Carney sounds like a more conventional liberal politician. He stresses environmental protection, promises to strengthen public healthcare and public broadcasting and wants Canada to expand its renewable-energy capacity.
Rather than fitting neatly onto a traditional left-right spectrum, his government is attempting to combine policies that European politics increasingly treats as belonging to opposing camps.
Carney wants more extraction of oil, gas and critical minerals while promising environmental protection. He favors lower taxes and generous incentives for business while defending public services. He has sharply reduced temporary migration while remaining an outspoken internationalist. He wants greater national economic sovereignty but also deeper international cooperation.
That combination may be less contradictory than it first appears.
Carney’s central political idea is resilience. Canada should be less dependent on the US, less vulnerable to economic coercion and better able to produce the energy, minerals, infrastructure and investment it needs at home. International cooperation, in his view, should strengthen national sovereignty rather than replace it.
That helps explain why a politician who looks so familiar to Europe’s liberal establishment can pursue domestic policies that sometimes sit awkwardly with contemporary European centrism.
Carney remains an internationalist of a recognizably European kind. But his domestic agenda draws from several political traditions at once.
As Europe searches for ways to respond to populist pressure without abandoning international cooperation, Canada may therefore be worth watching. Carney is attempting something unusual: combining tighter immigration, resource development and investment-friendly tax policy with public services, environmental commitments and multilateralism.
Whether that combination lasts is another question. For now, however, it helps explain why a former central banker who entered electoral politics only last year has become such an intriguing partner for Europe.
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