Markets Price in Peace That Does Not Exist
Markets are rallying on hopes of de-escalation in the Middle East – but falling gas prices, low storage levels and collapsing ship…
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Markets are rallying on hopes of de-escalation in the Middle East – but falling gas prices, low storage levels and collapsing ship…
Peter Magyar is taking over the country with the same goal as his predecessor: raising the birth rate. Orban’s family policy was a…
Magyar promises a painless clean-up after Orban. But with an empty treasury and a depleted EU, rescuing the Hungarian economy will…
Iran is fighting for survival, Israel is operating amid chaos, and US influence is waning. The result is a return to an era in whi…
Optimism keeps stocks high, but oil prices signal a long road to normality. Physical scarcity is reshaping the market.
Geopolitics no longer scares markets, but creeping stagflation poses a growing risk, compounded by investment advice from a presid…
The Artemis II mission is not only a return to the Moon, but also the launch pad for history’s biggest stock market debut. While E…
Returning to the Moon promises huge profits, yet the biggest winners are out of reach. Investors must choose between diluted aeros…
The US strike on Iran is not a sign of strength but of decline. The era of the petrodollar and cheap energy is ending. For Europe,…
The Iran ceasefire has calmed markets. Yet elevated oil prices and a paradoxical rise in gold signal the return of an old enemy: i…
The markets may be dancing to Trump’s tune, but the real threats lie in a creeping economic shock in Europe and a bursting private…
GDP is no longer the main priority. China's five-year plan goes beyond growth, aiming to build a more self-sufficient economy in a…
According to the renowned political commentator Jiang Xueqin, survival in a darker world will require a retreat from individualism…
Astronomical care costs and a mounting demographic crisis are reshaping the debate over euthanasia, posing a disquieting question:…
Assisted dying is not a gold mine for Big Pharma. The real end-of-life business today lies with private bankers and wealth manager…
The turmoil surrounding Donald Trump’s handling of the Iran crisis is rattling markets and pushing Europe towards stagflation. Tra…
The Iranian conflict is not unfolding as expected. The operation is taking longer than Donald Trump – and the financial markets – …
The Strait of Hormuz crisis is not only a price shock, but a rupture between paper markets and physical supply.
A blockade of the Strait of Hormuz not only halts oil flows from the Persian Gulf, but also disrupts less visible commodities. A q…
France’s municipal elections have shed new light on the political landscape ahead of the 2027 presidential race, with the old mast…
While equities remain calm, the bond market is already signalling rising concerns over US debt.
The war is escalating, central banks are holding back and equity markets are pricing in peace. Yet gold is falling against expecta…
Reproductive progressivism is hitting its limits. Opposition to surrogacy has united conservatives and feminists in France.
Surrogacy is turning the desire for a child into a cold business in which body, time and pain are bought and sold. Around the worl…
The protracted conflict continues to push up commodity prices. The Fed has adopted a wait-and-see attitude, Australia is already t…
There is no doubt that the most closely watched chart on the financial market right now is the oil price chart. The markets are wo…
Wars do not start overnight. The US strike on Iran is the culmination of decades of escalating tensions and will probably deepen i…
Anatomy of failure: the West overthrew Gaddafi without a plan for Libya’s future. It thus left the oil-rich country to other playe…
An oil price at $120 per barrel is problematic for Donald Trump. As soon as the price reaches that level again, the US president w…
The oil shock from Iran is once again raising fears of inflation. The smoldering private debt crisis is contributing to a perfect …
The American liberal order is collapsing. If the West is to endure, it must seek not salvation in utopia but a sober revision of i…
The bitter truth is that the European Union as a whole cannot be reformed. Today even Europe’s leaders recognise that they cannot …
The shutdown of the southern branch of the Druzhba oil pipeline has revealed that today's geopolitical dividing lines do not follo…
Investors appear increasingly accustomed to geopolitical shocks. US markets respond with brief sell-offs and a stronger dollar, Eu…
Iran does not even need to declare a formal blockade of the Strait of Hormuz or attempt to mine it. Shipping traffic through the n…
The extent of the market impact depends on two unknowns: the duration of the escalating conflict in the Gulf and how many countrie…
Should the guns fall silent, another battle will begin. As the world argues over who won, Russia will claim victory. A harsher dem…
The war in Ukraine has exposed an uncomfortable truth. The old continent is no longer a decisive global actor. Without serious sel…
AI compresses margins, tariff uncertainty persists and private credit risks grow as markets enter a new phase of stress.
While parts of the media portray AI as an unstoppable force destined to overwhelm society, financial markets tell a different stor…
Last week’s key development for global markets was a landmark ruling by the US Supreme Court that curtailed the president’s use of…
Japan's debt cannot be repaid. Prime Minister Takaichi refuses to make cuts and is increasing pressure. Could this trigger a globa…
Japan is showing renewed momentum. The bet on defence and a weaker yen is beginning to pay off, but investors must keep a close ey…
This week confirmed that the main center of economic and financial activity lies outside European markets.
Gold weakens without news, inflation falls, confidence wanes. Disorientation is the new volatility.
Today, the price of gas determines both the bills and the stability of the old continent. After the collapse of the Russian model,…
Gas is a bet on the weather, logistics, and investors' nerves. All it takes is a mild winter and the market changes direction.
When everyone agrees, it's time to pay attention. Even when it comes to protecting children.
Markets oscillate between euphoria and fear, as if they have lost their compass. Capital vacillates between dreams of artificial i…
Magnificent Seven has weakened by four percent since the beginning of 2026, and the story of artificial intelligence is changing f…